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Red165
192247.0
176857.9
172938.7
Blue90
206750.6
217038.9
856739.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1461235010020016590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#17
57.91.1
56.857.9
Auto13.7
Teleop34.1
End8.3
red by 7.3
2067
#29
50.61.9
44.242.3
Auto13.0
Teleop27.2
End9.1
Second
47.01.1
40.541.6
Auto10.7
Teleop28.7
End7.9
red by 7.6
8567
#19
39.41.9
37.735.8
Auto7.1
Teleop24.5
End6.6
Third
1729
#20
38.71.1
36.837.9
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End8.6
blue by 0.2
2170
#14
38.91.9
36.734.8
Auto8.4
Teleop21.6
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsMissed