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Red131
17758.5
404140.9
173544.1
Blue161
6136.1
346766.8
16648.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13515050100200131161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#2
58.50.2
53.753.9
Auto11.7
Teleop34.7
End10.7
blue by 8.4
66.81.5
60.061.4
Auto16.5
Teleop38.5
End9.9
Second
1735
#12
44.10.2
38.738.8
Auto10.2
Teleop25.4
End8.1
blue by 4.0
166
#30
48.11.5
46.047.5
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End9.9
Third
4041
#27
40.90.2
38.839.0
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End8.1
red by 4.8
61
#36
36.11.5
33.134.6
Auto10.3
Teleop16.5
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsEarned87%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned