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Red149
13142.5
13849.5
234241.7
Blue135
105842.9
24640.8
46742.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14211250100200149135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#13
49.51.3
46.347.6
Auto12.1
Teleop29.5
End7.0
red by 6.6
1058
#38
42.91.4
36.037.4
Auto10.6
Teleop24.2
End8.1
Second
131
#41
42.51.3
40.441.7
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End8.0
blue by 0.4
467
#15
42.91.4
37.939.2
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End8.7
Third
2342
#37
41.71.3
43.544.8
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End7.4
red by 0.9
246
#24
40.81.4
36.137.5
Auto10.4
Teleop21.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned31%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned