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Red109
17827.1
404849.5
802336.2
Blue156
17667.9
24640.8
17532.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10615450200250109156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.2
44.544.8
Auto12.8
Teleop25.8
End10.6
blue by 18.3
176
#10
67.90.2
65.265.3
Auto16.4
Teleop39.6
End10.6
Second
8023
#35
36.20.2
35.936.2
Auto10.5
Teleop18.7
End7.3
blue by 4.6
246
#24
40.80.2
41.041.2
Auto10.4
Teleop21.9
End7.9
Third
178
#40
27.10.2
24.825.0
Auto13.0
Teleop12.5
End1.6
blue by 5.5
175
#33
32.60.2
33.233.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.1
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsMissed89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned