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Red128
271345.3
172938.7
50937.2
Blue115
6136.1
17827.1
13142.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910990100120130140128115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#16
45.31.7
41.843.5
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End8.3
red by 2.8
131
#41
42.50.5
39.940.5
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End8.0
Second
1729
#20
38.71.7
33.335.0
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End8.6
red by 2.6
61
#36
36.10.5
33.534.1
Auto10.3
Teleop16.5
End9.6
Third
509
#21
37.21.7
27.329.0
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End7.6
red by 10.0
178
#40
27.10.5
28.429.0
Auto13.0
Teleop12.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned