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Red131
206750.6
404140.9
234241.7
Blue147
107347.0
17667.9
905522.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134133100120140160180131147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#29
50.60.0
44.344.4
Auto13.0
Teleop27.2
End9.1
blue by 17.2
176
#10
67.91.5
66.067.5
Auto16.4
Teleop39.6
End10.6
Second
2342
#37
41.70.0
42.542.5
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End7.4
blue by 5.3
1073
#18
47.01.5
38.540.0
Auto13.0
Teleop25.8
End8.0
Third
4041
#27
40.90.0
38.638.6
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End8.1
red by 18.1
9055
#39
22.81.5
20.021.5
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsEarned69%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned