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Red138
50937.2
9559.7
17532.6
Blue130
217038.9
17758.5
115348.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12416050100150200138130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#23
59.71.1
55.356.4
Auto13.6
Teleop34.3
End10.7
red by 1.3
177
#2
58.51.1
57.256.2
Auto11.7
Teleop34.7
End10.7
Second
509
#21
37.21.1
33.734.8
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End7.6
blue by 11.3
1153
#25
48.41.1
51.750.7
Auto9.3
Teleop31.2
End7.2
Third
175
#33
32.61.1
32.133.2
Auto8.5
Teleop15.1
End9.4
blue by 6.3
2170
#14
38.91.1
36.835.8
Auto8.4
Teleop21.6
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsEarned72%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned