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Red182
490949.7
17667.9
192247.0
Blue159
23062.9
234241.7
6136.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17914450100200250182159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#10
67.90.2
66.266.5
Auto16.4
Teleop39.6
End10.6
red by 5.0
230
#5
62.91.0
60.961.9
Auto17.3
Teleop35.0
End8.8
Second
49.70.2
50.550.7
Auto11.9
Teleop27.7
End9.7
red by 8.0
2342
#37
41.71.0
41.342.3
Auto13.6
Teleop21.0
End7.4
Third
47.00.2
48.448.6
Auto10.7
Teleop28.7
End7.9
red by 10.9
61
#36
36.11.0
37.238.1
Auto10.3
Teleop16.5
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned