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Red110
404140.9
169945.2
71636.4
Blue124
50126.7
174049.8
802336.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13511150100150200110124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#22
45.20.9
46.145.2
Auto15.1
Teleop22.7
End6.6
blue by 4.6
1740
#11
49.81.1
48.249.3
Auto14.0
Teleop27.1
End7.7
Second
4041
#27
40.90.9
39.738.8
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End8.1
red by 4.7
8023
#35
36.21.1
36.737.8
Auto10.5
Teleop18.7
End7.3
Third
716
#31
36.40.9
38.537.6
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End8.1
red by 9.6
501
#44
26.71.1
22.423.5
Auto6.5
Teleop12.4
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsMissed55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned