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Red113
905522.8
57135.3
16648.1
Blue122
172938.7
490632.2
13849.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11212750100150200113122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#30
48.10.4
46.546.9
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End9.9
blue by 1.4
138
#13
49.50.3
50.650.9
Auto12.1
Teleop29.5
End7.0
Second
571
#28
35.30.4
37.738.2
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End5.7
blue by 3.4
1729
#20
38.70.3
37.838.1
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End8.6
Third
9055
#39
22.80.4
22.422.8
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End8.3
blue by 9.4
4906
#34
32.20.3
29.129.4
Auto10.3
Teleop14.0
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned