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Red147
404849.5
173544.1
105842.9
Blue144
46742.9
693343.8
206750.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139133100120160180200147144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.51.2
47.949.0
Auto12.8
Teleop25.8
End10.6
blue by 1.1
2067
#29
50.61.2
46.147.3
Auto13.0
Teleop27.2
End9.1
Second
1735
#12
44.11.2
43.344.5
Auto10.2
Teleop25.4
End8.1
red by 0.4
6933
#32
43.81.2
41.943.1
Auto13.0
Teleop24.3
End5.9
Third
1058
#38
42.91.2
39.340.5
Auto10.6
Teleop24.2
End8.1
Level
467
#15
42.91.2
40.241.5
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned67%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned