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Red125
17532.6
6136.1
174049.8
Blue154
271345.3
50126.7
9559.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130130100110120140150160125154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1740
#11
49.80.3
49.349.6
Auto14.0
Teleop27.1
End7.7
blue by 9.9
95
#23
59.71.7
56.458.1
Auto13.6
Teleop34.3
End10.7
Second
61
#36
36.10.3
38.138.4
Auto10.3
Teleop16.5
End9.6
blue by 9.2
2713
#16
45.31.7
43.545.2
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End8.3
Third
175
#33
32.60.3
33.233.5
Auto8.5
Teleop15.1
End9.4
red by 5.9
501
#44
26.71.7
23.525.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.4
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsEarned74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned