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Red108
50126.7
105842.9
124719.7
Blue137
172938.7
490949.7
404849.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80157050100200250108137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#38
42.91.6
41.242.8
Auto10.6
Teleop24.2
End8.1
blue by 6.7
49.70.1
49.849.7
Auto11.9
Teleop27.7
End9.7
Second
501
#44
26.71.6
25.226.7
Auto6.5
Teleop12.4
End8.0
blue by 22.8
49.50.1
49.449.4
Auto12.8
Teleop25.8
End10.6
Third
1247
#45
19.71.6
18.119.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End6.0
blue by 19.0
1729
#20
38.70.1
38.838.7
Auto9.4
Teleop20.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsMissed60%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned