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Red164
50937.2
107347.0
217038.9
Blue155
8853.2
46742.9
174049.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119155050100200164155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#18
47.02.5
45.147.7
Auto13.0
Teleop25.8
End8.0
blue by 6.3
88
#26
53.20.9
52.253.1
Auto11.0
Teleop32.5
End8.9
Second
2170
#14
38.92.5
36.438.9
Auto8.4
Teleop21.6
End9.3
blue by 10.9
1740
#11
49.80.9
49.650.5
Auto14.0
Teleop27.1
End7.7
Third
509
#21
37.22.5
34.637.2
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End7.6
blue by 5.8
467
#15
42.90.9
42.143.0
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned80%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned