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Red163
17667.9
16648.1
856739.4
Blue155
9559.7
169945.2
176857.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15416650100200250300163155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#10
67.91.2
65.967.1
Auto16.4
Teleop39.6
End10.6
red by 8.1
95
#23
59.70.0
58.158.2
Auto13.6
Teleop34.3
End10.7
Second
166
#30
48.11.2
46.247.3
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End9.9
blue by 9.8
1768
#17
57.90.0
57.157.1
Auto13.7
Teleop34.1
End8.3
Third
8567
#19
39.41.2
38.339.4
Auto7.1
Teleop24.5
End6.6
blue by 5.8
1699
#22
45.20.0
44.444.4
Auto15.1
Teleop22.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned