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Red159
175762.0
169945.2
17667.9
Blue158
115348.4
404849.5
13849.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183148100200250159158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#10
67.90.2
67.166.9
Auto16.4
Teleop39.6
End10.6
red by 18.3
49.50.3
49.449.7
Auto12.8
Teleop25.8
End10.6
Second
62.00.2
61.261.0
Auto14.6
Teleop35.0
End10.8
red by 12.4
138
#13
49.50.3
49.449.7
Auto12.1
Teleop29.5
End7.0
Third
1699
#22
45.20.2
44.444.3
Auto15.1
Teleop22.7
End6.6
blue by 3.2
1153
#25
48.40.3
48.248.6
Auto9.3
Teleop31.2
End7.2