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Red173
176857.9
346766.8
16648.1
Blue188
23062.9
9559.7
206750.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175171120140160200220173188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.2
66.066.2
Auto16.5
Teleop38.5
End9.9
red by 3.9
230
#5
62.90.5
61.361.8
Auto17.3
Teleop35.0
End8.8
Second
1768
#17
57.90.2
57.157.3
Auto13.7
Teleop34.1
End8.3
blue by 1.8
95
#23
59.70.5
58.258.7
Auto13.6
Teleop34.3
End10.7
Third
166
#30
48.10.2
47.347.5
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End9.9
blue by 2.5
2067
#29
50.60.5
49.149.5
Auto13.0
Teleop27.2
End9.1