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Red152
174049.8
192247.0
107347.0
Blue147
271345.3
490949.7
13142.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155143100120180200220152147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1740
#11
49.80.2
49.950.0
Auto14.0
Teleop27.1
End7.7
red by 0.1
49.70.1
49.549.7
Auto11.9
Teleop27.7
End9.7
Second
47.00.2
47.147.3
Auto10.7
Teleop28.7
End7.9
red by 1.7
2713
#16
45.30.1
45.245.3
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End8.3
Third
1073
#18
47.00.2
47.047.2
Auto13.0
Teleop25.8
End8.0
red by 4.4
131
#41
42.50.1
42.442.5
Auto10.5
Teleop23.5
End8.0