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Red173
175762.0
169945.2
17667.9
Blue167
23062.9
9559.7
206750.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178172120140160200220240260173167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#10
67.90.1
66.967.0
Auto16.4
Teleop39.6
End10.6
red by 5.0
230
#5
62.90.1
61.861.9
Auto17.3
Teleop35.0
End8.8
Second
62.00.1
61.061.1
Auto14.6
Teleop35.0
End10.8
red by 2.2
95
#23
59.70.1
58.758.8
Auto13.6
Teleop34.3
End10.7
Third
1699
#22
45.20.1
44.344.4
Auto15.1
Teleop22.7
End6.6
blue by 5.4
2067
#29
50.60.1
49.549.7
Auto13.0
Teleop27.2
End9.1