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Red204
580458.7
174658.1
318459.7
Blue181
153864.9
490957.5
414364.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172195100150250204181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#24
59.70.7
58.959.5
Auto15.4
Teleop35.4
End6.6
blue by 5.2
1538
#13
64.90.0
65.165.1
Auto15.3
Teleop39.8
End8.9
Second
5804
#26
58.70.7
57.858.5
Auto15.1
Teleop33.2
End8.4
blue by 5.4
64.00.0
64.264.2
Auto16.5
Teleop34.6
End10.9
Third
1746
#14
58.10.7
57.357.9
Auto13.1
Teleop35.6
End8.9
red by 0.7
4909
#27
57.50.0
57.757.7
Auto14.9
Teleop32.5
End9.0