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Red163
19565.8
728553.9
303963.6
Blue188
153864.9
490957.5
414364.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190192140160180200220240163188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#18
65.80.5
66.365.8
Auto15.8
Teleop40.3
End7.8
red by 0.9
1538
#13
64.90.0
65.065.1
Auto15.3
Teleop39.8
End8.9
Second
63.60.5
64.063.6
Auto16.3
Teleop38.2
End7.9
blue by 0.5
64.00.0
64.264.2
Auto16.5
Teleop34.6
End10.9
Third
7285
#45
53.90.5
54.353.9
Auto14.6
Teleop33.0
End6.2
blue by 3.6
4909
#27
57.50.0
57.657.7
Auto14.9
Teleop32.5
End9.0