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Red97
555328.6
742828.2
880835.3
Blue170
162948.9
17758.4
761752.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7717605010015020025097170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8808
#60
35.30.8
32.433.3
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.9
blue by 23.1
177
#28
58.40.3
57.858.2
Auto11.1
Teleop36.6
End8.4
Second
5553
#63
28.60.8
26.327.1
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End6.5
blue by 23.9
7617
#15
52.40.3
51.551.9
Auto13.4
Teleop32.4
End6.4
Third
7428
#74
28.20.8
25.726.6
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End4.6
blue by 20.7
1629
#52
48.90.3
47.647.9
Auto14.5
Teleop27.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed80%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsMissed