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Red152
409948.3
299256.9
183635.2
Blue133
599049.8
296040.5
527437.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143141050100200250300152133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.91.2
55.857.0
Auto14.4
Teleop33.6
End8.4
red by 7.1
5990
#53
49.80.6
50.149.5
Auto14.1
Teleop31.1
End4.4
Second
4099
#11
48.31.2
46.347.5
Auto11.3
Teleop28.7
End7.7
red by 7.8
2960
#65
40.50.6
45.044.4
Auto12.6
Teleop22.6
End4.9
Third
1836
#42
35.21.2
31.933.1
Auto10.7
Teleop17.3
End7.5
blue by 2.3
5274
#58
37.50.6
37.436.8
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned64%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsEarned