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Red170
299256.9
318459.7
321861.1
Blue172
414364.0
580458.7
432950.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178170140160200220170172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#44
61.10.1
59.959.8
Auto14.4
Teleop33.4
End11.9
blue by 3.0
64.00.8
58.058.8
Auto16.5
Teleop34.6
End10.9
Second
3184
#24
59.70.1
58.458.4
Auto15.4
Teleop35.4
End6.6
red by 1.1
5804
#26
58.70.8
58.559.2
Auto15.1
Teleop33.2
End8.4
Third
56.90.1
55.755.7
Auto14.4
Teleop33.6
End8.4
red by 6.5
50.40.8
45.646.4
Auto13.7
Teleop27.3
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned