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Red112
801629.6
660618.5
49462.3
Blue124
376747.7
912622.9
452268.9
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9914750200112124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#9
62.30.9
59.560.3
Auto16.9
Teleop34.7
End8.4
blue by 6.6
68.91.5
67.165.6
Auto15.1
Teleop40.1
End11.4
Second
8016
#54
29.61.0
29.330.3
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End4.1
blue by 18.0
3767
#16
47.71.5
43.942.4
Auto13.2
Teleop26.5
End7.2
Third
6606
#73
18.50.9
10.110.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End3.6
blue by 4.3
9126
#70
22.91.9
23.221.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsMissed73%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsMissed