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Qual 332023 Newton Division
Red143
742828.2
146852.1
859257.4
Blue142
376747.7
181643.1
500648.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14813880100120160180200220240143142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8592
#23
57.40.3
59.9→59.6
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End6.0
red by 8.8
5006
#33
48.60.7
48.6→49.3
Auto10.3
Teleop29.2
End8.8
Second
1468
#29
52.10.3
50.5→50.2
Auto9.9
Teleop32.3
End9.0
red by 4.4
3767
#16
47.70.7
42.4→43.1
Auto13.2
Teleop26.5
End7.2
Third
7428
#74
28.20.3
27.3→27.0
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End4.6
blue by 14.9
1816
#39
43.10.7
41.7→42.5
Auto14.2
Teleop22.7
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsMissed58%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned