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Red164
490957.5
316147.5
174658.1
Blue125
353872.4
906219.7
533841.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160138100150200250164125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#14
58.10.8
48.349.1
Auto13.1
Teleop35.6
End8.9
blue by 14.3
3538
#17
72.40.5
69.268.8
Auto15.6
Teleop44.1
End10.7
Second
4909
#27
57.50.8
53.654.4
Auto14.9
Teleop32.5
End9.0
red by 16.3
5338
#66
41.20.5
40.439.9
Auto8.3
Teleop28.3
End4.5
Third
3161
#57
47.50.8
45.646.4
Auto11.0
Teleop29.9
End6.9
red by 27.8
9062
#72
19.70.5
22.522.0
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned