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Red123
494445.0
296040.5
150153.3
Blue182
318459.7
19565.8
264256.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13718350100150200250123182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#40
53.30.8
51.150.3
Auto15.3
Teleop29.4
End7.5
blue by 12.5
195
#18
65.80.4
68.468.8
Auto15.8
Teleop40.3
End7.8
Second
4944
#56
45.00.8
38.037.2
Auto11.7
Teleop24.8
End8.2
blue by 14.8
3184
#24
59.70.4
58.458.8
Auto15.4
Teleop35.4
End6.6
Third
2960
#65
40.50.8
47.947.2
Auto12.6
Teleop22.6
End4.9
blue by 15.5
2642
#31
56.00.4
47.648.0
Auto15.2
Teleop31.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsMissed98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned