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Red105
707235.2
527437.5
871727.2
Blue152
490538.6
112351.4
441943.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9715150200250105152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5274
#58
37.50.5
36.737.2
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End7.8
blue by 13.8
1123
#59
51.41.2
52.653.8
Auto11.6
Teleop31.3
End7.3
Second
7072
#61
35.20.5
30.931.3
Auto10.6
Teleop16.7
End8.1
blue by 8.7
4419
#34
43.91.2
39.941.1
Auto10.8
Teleop26.9
End6.4
Third
8717
#75
27.20.5
30.430.8
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End4.3
blue by 11.4
4905
#47
38.61.2
42.143.3
Auto11.7
Teleop18.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed65%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned