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Red128
411229.7
490538.6
500648.6
Blue143
393245.5
318459.7
880835.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12712980100120140160180128143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5006
#33
48.60.6
46.547.1
Auto10.3
Teleop29.2
End8.8
blue by 11.2
3184
#24
59.70.5
57.958.4
Auto15.4
Teleop35.4
End6.6
Second
4905
#47
38.60.6
43.343.9
Auto11.7
Teleop18.7
End7.8
blue by 6.9
3932
#22
45.50.5
33.333.7
Auto8.7
Teleop29.7
End6.6
Third
4112
#62
29.70.6
29.429.9
Auto8.2
Teleop14.2
End7.6
blue by 5.6
8808
#60
35.30.5
31.431.9
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsEarned34%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsMissed