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Red141
299256.9
49462.3
517232.8
Blue119
914047.1
908450.2
871727.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17111650100150200141119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#9
62.30.8
60.359.5
Auto16.9
Teleop34.7
End8.4
red by 12.2
9084
#20
50.20.2
44.444.7
Auto12.3
Teleop29.0
End8.6
Second
56.90.8
56.655.7
Auto14.4
Teleop33.6
End8.4
red by 9.8
9140
#36
47.10.2
42.542.8
Auto13.4
Teleop26.2
End6.7
Third
5172
#51
32.81.0
37.636.5
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End8.7
red by 5.7
8717
#75
27.20.3
28.428.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned