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Red122
85752.2
580458.7
859257.4
Blue165
884738.0
452268.9
761752.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176157100200250122165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#26
58.72.7
58.455.7
Auto15.1
Teleop33.2
End8.4
blue by 10.3
68.91.0
66.167.2
Auto15.1
Teleop40.1
End11.4
Second
8592
#23
57.42.7
59.656.9
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End6.0
red by 4.9
7617
#15
52.41.0
50.151.1
Auto13.4
Teleop32.4
End6.4
Third
857
#35
52.22.7
53.350.6
Auto13.7
Teleop29.6
End7.5
red by 14.2
8847
#25
38.01.0
34.435.4
Auto7.9
Teleop21.8
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsMissed93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned