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Red135
690919.3
353872.4
376747.7
Blue108
880835.3
914047.1
906219.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1469950200250135108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#17
72.40.1
68.868.7
Auto15.6
Teleop44.1
End10.7
red by 25.3
9140
#36
47.10.6
43.143.7
Auto13.4
Teleop26.2
End6.7
Second
3767
#16
47.70.1
43.143.0
Auto13.2
Teleop26.5
End7.2
red by 12.4
8808
#60
35.30.6
33.534.1
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.9
Third
6909
#69
19.30.1
19.319.2
Auto7.9
Teleop8.1
End3.7
blue by 0.4
9062
#72
19.70.6
22.022.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned