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Red128
347852.0
903022.5
318459.7
Blue85
64315.5
146647.5
527437.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145975020025012885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#24
59.70.5
58.858.3
Auto15.4
Teleop35.4
End6.6
red by 12.3
1466
#50
47.51.1
46.044.9
Auto15.9
Teleop24.3
End7.2
Second
3478
#43
52.00.5
48.247.7
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End8.2
red by 14.5
5274
#58
37.51.1
37.236.1
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End7.8
Third
9030
#64
22.50.5
24.724.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.3
End4.5
red by 17.0
6431
#77
5.51.1
13.412.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsMissed