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Red123
112351.4
681718.5
409948.3
Blue150
264256.0
466341.5
1155.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12514950100200123150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1123
#59
51.40.2
53.853.6
Auto11.6
Teleop31.3
End7.3
blue by 4.6
2642
#31
56.00.9
48.048.9
Auto15.2
Teleop31.3
End8.1
Second
4099
#11
48.30.2
45.545.4
Auto11.3
Teleop28.7
End7.7
blue by 6.9
11
#30
55.20.9
53.354.2
Auto15.1
Teleop31.2
End8.0
Third
6817
#67
18.50.2
21.221.1
Auto8.2
Teleop5.9
End4.9
blue by 22.9
4663
#49
41.50.9
38.739.6
Auto10.5
Teleop23.2
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsMissed32%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned