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Red135
490538.6
406949.4
162948.9
Blue167
303963.6
517232.8
414549.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152151120130140160170180190135167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4069
#48
49.40.5
52.752.2
Auto12.9
Teleop28.5
End7.7
blue by 14.2
63.61.3
57.658.9
Auto16.3
Teleop38.2
End7.9
Second
1629
#52
48.90.5
49.048.5
Auto14.5
Teleop27.7
End5.8
blue by 0.9
4145
#38
49.81.3
47.448.7
Auto9.5
Teleop32.1
End8.0
Third
4905
#47
38.60.5
43.342.8
Auto11.7
Teleop18.7
End7.8
red by 5.8
5172
#51
32.81.3
36.938.3
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
77%Sustainability oddsMissed81%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned