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Red129
19565.8
908450.2
411229.7
Blue172
357246.8
17758.4
394055.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155161050100200250300350400129172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#18
65.81.1
68.867.7
Auto15.8
Teleop40.3
End7.8
red by 7.4
177
#28
58.40.4
59.559.9
Auto11.1
Teleop36.6
End8.4
Second
9084
#20
50.21.1
45.043.9
Auto12.3
Teleop29.0
End8.6
blue by 5.2
55.40.4
54.354.7
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End7.0
Third
4112
#62
29.71.1
32.331.2
Auto8.2
Teleop14.2
End7.6
blue by 17.1
3572
#21
46.80.4
41.642.1
Auto9.8
Teleop27.5
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned