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Red175
566539.5
353872.4
95553.3
Blue143
707235.2
452268.9
742828.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17712550100150200250175143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#17
72.40.0
68.768.7
Auto15.6
Teleop44.1
End10.7
red by 3.5
68.90.9
67.268.1
Auto15.1
Teleop40.1
End11.4
Second
955
#37
53.30.0
56.056.0
Auto12.3
Teleop31.1
End8.8
red by 18.1
7072
#61
35.20.9
31.332.3
Auto10.6
Teleop16.7
End8.1
Third
5665
#10
39.50.0
38.238.3
Auto12.3
Teleop17.7
End9.7
red by 11.2
7428
#74
28.20.9
25.426.3
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned78%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned