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Red125
17956.0
880835.3
102350.6
Blue173
494445.0
414364.0
859257.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142164100200250125173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#12
56.00.7
57.156.4
Auto10.6
Teleop37.6
End6.9
blue by 8.0
64.01.4
58.960.4
Auto16.5
Teleop34.6
End10.9
Second
1023
#19
50.60.7
44.743.9
Auto10.6
Teleop32.1
End8.0
blue by 6.8
8592
#23
57.41.4
56.958.3
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End6.0
Third
8808
#60
35.30.7
34.133.4
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.9
blue by 9.7
4944
#56
45.01.4
40.541.9
Auto11.7
Teleop24.8
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsEarned79%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned