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Red174
376747.7
513551.5
409948.3
Blue158
406949.4
357246.8
300342.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142143120130150160170174158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5135
#41
51.51.2
49.750.9
Auto12.9
Teleop28.5
End9.3
red by 2.2
4069
#48
49.41.7
52.254.0
Auto12.9
Teleop28.5
End7.7
Second
4099
#11
48.31.2
45.446.6
Auto11.3
Teleop28.7
End7.7
red by 1.4
3572
#21
46.81.7
42.143.8
Auto9.8
Teleop27.5
End8.7
Third
3767
#16
47.71.2
43.044.2
Auto13.2
Teleop26.5
End7.2
red by 5.5
3003
#55
42.21.7
38.039.7
Auto12.9
Teleop21.0
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned51%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned