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Red134
761752.4
490538.6
914047.1
Blue157
50348.0
494445.0
912622.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15411450100200134157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7617
#15
52.41.0
52.751.7
Auto13.4
Teleop32.4
End6.4
red by 4.4
503
#46
48.02.7
44.947.6
Auto12.1
Teleop27.0
End8.6
Second
9140
#36
47.11.0
44.343.3
Auto13.4
Teleop26.2
End6.7
red by 2.1
4944
#56
45.02.7
41.944.6
Auto11.7
Teleop24.8
End8.2
Third
4905
#47
38.61.0
42.841.7
Auto11.7
Teleop18.7
End7.8
red by 15.7
9126
#70
22.92.7
24.827.5
Auto6.5
Teleop11.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned