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Red110
85752.2
681718.5
296040.5
Blue76
411229.7
880835.3
517232.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12810505015020025030011076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#35
52.20.8
52.251.4
Auto13.7
Teleop29.6
End7.5
red by 16.9
8808
#60
35.32.4
33.431.0
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.9
Second
2960
#65
40.50.8
46.045.1
Auto12.6
Teleop22.6
End4.9
red by 7.7
5172
#51
32.82.4
37.835.5
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End8.7
Third
6817
#67
18.50.8
19.618.7
Auto8.2
Teleop5.9
End4.9
blue by 11.2
4112
#62
29.72.4
30.428.1
Auto8.2
Teleop14.2
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned