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Red138
181643.1
347852.0
555328.6
Blue130
884738.0
95553.3
908450.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12115250100200250138130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#43
52.01.4
47.348.7
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End8.2
blue by 1.3
955
#37
53.30.9
56.155.2
Auto12.3
Teleop31.1
End8.8
Second
1816
#39
43.11.4
42.043.4
Auto14.2
Teleop22.7
End6.1
blue by 7.0
9084
#20
50.20.9
45.644.7
Auto12.3
Teleop29.0
End8.6
Third
5553
#63
28.61.4
27.929.3
Auto5.3
Teleop17.0
End6.5
blue by 9.4
8847
#25
38.00.9
36.735.8
Auto7.9
Teleop21.8
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned