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Red181
321861.1
441943.9
707235.2
Blue105
296040.5
64315.5
801629.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1398750100150200181105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#44
61.11.5
58.459.9
Auto14.4
Teleop33.4
End11.9
red by 20.6
2960
#65
40.51.1
46.847.9
Auto12.6
Teleop22.6
End4.9
Second
4419
#34
43.91.5
38.139.6
Auto10.8
Teleop26.9
End6.4
red by 14.2
8016
#54
29.61.3
27.929.3
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End4.1
Third
7072
#61
35.21.5
27.729.3
Auto10.6
Teleop16.7
End8.1
red by 29.7
6431
#77
5.51.1
13.714.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsEarned34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsEarned