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Red168
174658.1
432950.4
303963.6
Blue167
452268.9
183635.2
513551.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157140100200250168167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.61.5
54.055.5
Auto16.3
Teleop38.2
End7.9
blue by 5.4
68.92.3
64.967.1
Auto15.1
Teleop40.1
End11.4
Second
1746
#14
58.11.5
46.848.3
Auto13.1
Teleop35.6
End8.9
red by 6.6
5135
#41
51.52.3
45.447.6
Auto12.9
Teleop28.5
End9.3
Third
50.41.5
44.145.6
Auto13.7
Teleop27.3
End9.7
red by 15.2
1836
#42
35.22.3
24.226.4
Auto10.7
Teleop17.3
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
88%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned