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Red65
912622.9
517232.8
902327.4
Blue86
513551.5
801516.2
903022.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98987080901106586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#51
32.82.2
35.533.3
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End8.7
blue by 18.7
5135
#41
51.50.4
51.050.6
Auto12.9
Teleop28.5
End9.3
Second
9023
#76
27.42.2
29.427.2
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End5.6
red by 4.9
9030
#64
22.50.4
22.922.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.3
End4.5
Third
9126
#70
22.92.2
27.525.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.9
End4.6
red by 6.7
8015
#71
16.20.4
17.717.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed28%Activation oddsEarned