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Red149
490538.6
146647.5
183635.2
Blue75
906219.7
19565.8
406949.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211595010020014975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#50
47.51.1
45.246.3
Auto15.9
Teleop24.3
End7.2
blue by 18.3
195
#18
65.84.6
68.163.5
Auto15.8
Teleop40.3
End7.8
Second
4905
#47
38.61.1
42.743.8
Auto11.7
Teleop18.7
End7.8
blue by 10.8
4069
#48
49.44.6
53.248.6
Auto12.9
Teleop28.5
End7.7
Third
1836
#42
35.21.1
30.331.3
Auto10.7
Teleop17.3
End7.5
red by 15.5
9062
#72
19.74.6
22.818.2
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsMissed