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Qual 842023 Newton Division
Red153
394055.4
908450.2
90054.1
Blue148
527437.5
353872.4
801629.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159138100150200250153148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#2
55.40.4
55.3→55.7
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End7.0
blue by 17.0
3538
#17
72.41.0
67.9→68.9
Auto15.6
Teleop44.1
End10.7
Second
900
#5
54.10.4
50.9→51.4
Auto15.0
Teleop29.5
End8.5
red by 16.6
5274
#58
37.51.0
35.0→36.1
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End7.8
Third
9084
#20
50.20.4
44.7→45.1
Auto12.3
Teleop29.0
End8.6
red by 20.5
8016
#54
29.61.0
29.4→30.4
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
86%Sustainability oddsEarned70%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned