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Red214
432950.4
353872.4
406949.4
Blue135
761752.4
801516.2
264256.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183122100150200250214135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#17
72.41.2
70.271.4
Auto15.6
Teleop44.1
End10.7
red by 16.4
2642
#31
56.00.9
55.055.9
Auto15.2
Teleop31.3
End8.1
Second
50.41.2
48.950.1
Auto13.7
Teleop27.3
End9.7
blue by 2.0
7617
#15
52.40.9
51.652.4
Auto13.4
Teleop32.4
End6.4
Third
4069
#48
49.41.2
48.249.4
Auto12.9
Teleop28.5
End7.7
red by 33.2
8015
#71
16.20.9
15.316.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned30%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
99%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned