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Red138
321861.1
394055.4
409948.3
Blue72
517232.8
533841.2
690919.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1809105015020025013872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#44
61.11.3
60.258.9
Auto14.4
Teleop33.4
End11.9
red by 19.9
5338
#66
41.21.6
42.240.6
Auto8.3
Teleop28.3
End4.5
Second
55.41.3
55.754.4
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End7.0
red by 22.6
5172
#51
32.81.6
33.331.7
Auto3.9
Teleop20.6
End8.7
Third
4099
#11
48.31.3
47.646.3
Auto11.3
Teleop28.7
End7.7
red by 29.0
6909
#69
19.31.6
20.819.2
Auto7.9
Teleop8.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsMissed